About the Sale
The Gumball Machine is simple and driven by pure chance. We select a bunch of items for clearance, publish the odds, and distribute them randomly as you order. No special requests for items are honored, it's all down to what the random number generator says...
In the end, everyone walks away a winner — we get to empty our shelves, and you get amazing deals and weird one-offs from our warehouse.
Please note that this is a clearance event. Returns are not accepted on Gumball orders.
A Special Note on Sizing & Condition
Sized Gumball items will be distributed randomly unless specifically stated otherwise in the description below. You are free to request certain sizes of items in your order notes but we can make no guarantees of availability.
Unless stated otherwise Gumball items are in either new or in Grade 1 (excellent) condition.
The Gumball Process
Below you will find the table of available items in the Gumball Machine, each with a corresponding percentile chance. Gumball Machine items are determined through the following RNG system — no requests for specific items are allowed.
Let’s say you have your eye on a particular item and want to calculate your chance of getting it, at least once, across multiple Gumballs. The formula for this is:
1 - ( 1 - % Chance) ^ (# of Chances)
If item A has a 20% chance per Gumball, and you purchase three Gumballs, here's how it would shake out. Your chance at item A is equal to:
1 - (1 - 0.20)^3 = 0.488
In other words, your chance at item A is 48.8%
Note: To use this formula you need to express the percentage chance in decimal form. The 20% chance in the formula above is written as "0.20" not "20."
Happy hunting and may RNGesus bless you!
"Rare" Items
| Item | Chance | Retail |
| Warehouse Artifacts | 0.81% | Priceless :) |
| 0.31% | $159.99 | |
| 0.21% | $219.99 | |
| 0.17% | $59.99 | |
| USMC Peckham Polartec Thermal Fleece Pullover, Olive Drab, XL | 0.10% | $49.99 |
| 0.10% | $169.99 | |
| 0.10% | $69.99 | |
| Complete ALICE Pack (Frame, Shoulder Straps, Kidney Belt, OD Medium Rucksack) | 0.08% | $129.99 |
| Afghan Large Pattern "Peace" Rug | 0.08% | $249.99 |
| SureFire M88 Hellfighter Mount System | 0.06% | $599.99 |
| 0.06% | $199.99 | |
| 1 Year Free CONUS shipping | 0.06% | $150.00 |
| $100 Gift Card | 0.06% | $100.00 |
| USGI Flyers Coveralls | 0.06% | $99.99 |
| 0.04% | $299.99 | |
| An Entire Charcoal Grill | 0.04% | $149.99 |
| Blem USGI Olive Drab Deployment Bag | 0.02% | $125.59 |
| ABU Tigerstripe Deployment Bag | 0.02% | $124.99 |
| $500 Gift Card | 0.02% | $500.00 |
"Common" Items
| Item | Chance | Retail |
| 10.82% | $31.99 | |
| Three-Pack UCP Double Mag STANAG Pouch, Velcro Pull | 5.94% | $19.98 |
| USGI UCP Fighting Load Carrier | 5.11% | $24.99 |
| 4.65% | $19.99 | |
| $20 Gift Card | 4.14% | $20.00 |
| 4.12% | $34.99 | |
| 2.69% | $19.99 | |
| 2.61% | $23.97 | |
| 2.59% | $31.98 | |
| 2.48% | $13.98 | |
| 2.28% | $64.99 | |
| 2.21% | $39.99 | |
| 2.07% | $27.98 | |
| 2.07% | $29.99 | |
| 2.07% | $23.96 | |
| 1.55% | $11.97 | |
| 1.55% | $39.99 | |
| 1.55% | $15.98 | |
| 1.55% | $19.99 | |
| 1.55% | $31.98 | |
| Bose Gentex Triport CVC PTT and Mic Set | 1.53% | $49.99 |
| 1.45% | $39.98 | |
| 1.34% | $34.99 | |
| 1.32% | $11.99 | |
| 1.14% | $9.99 | |
| 1.12% | $39.99 | |
| USGI ECW Boot Liner (Pair) | 1.05% | $24.99 |
| 1.03% | $39.98 | |
| 1.03% | $24.99 | |
| 1.01% | $22.99 | |
| 1.01% | $34.99 | |
| 0.93% | $29.99 | |
| 0.83% | $19.98 | |
| 0.83% | $39.99 | |
| 0.72% | $24.99 | |
| 0.72% | $15.98 | |
| 0.72% | $39.99 | |
| 0.72% | $59.99 | |
| 0.68% | $23.97 | |
| Two-Pack USGI UCP Three Mag Placard | 0.68% | $19.98 |
| 0.66% | $39.99 | |
| 0.62% | $29.99 | |
| 0.58% | $39.99 | |
| 0.52% | $39.99 | |
| 0.52% | $39.98 | |
| 0.52% | $23.98 | |
| 0.52% | $19.47 | |
| 0.52% | $39.99 | |
| 0.43% | $99.99 | |
| 0.41% | $89.99 | |
| $25 Gift Card | 0.41% | $25.00 |
| 0.41% | $29.98 | |
| USGI Insect Headnet | 0.41% | $19.99 |
| Serviceable USGI UCP Large Rucksack (Complete) | 0.41% | $69.99 |
| Khaki Polizei Turtleneck Sweater | 0.41% | $19.99 |
| 0.39% | $31.98 | |
| Two-Pack UCP IFAK Pouch | 0.41% | $19.98 |
| 0.35% | $19.98 | |
| 0.35% | $24.99 | |
| 0.31% | $69.99 | |
| USGI Blue Dress Pants | 0.27% | $24.99 |
| 0.27% | $39.98 | |
| USGI Food Service Trousers | 0.27% | $19.99 |
| 0.25% | $39.99 | |
| 0.25% | $19.99 | |
| USGI Food Service Apron | 0.25% | $11.98 |
| UCP CamelBak Thermobak Hydration System | 0.25% | $39.99 |
| Eagle Industries Khaki Padded War Belt | 0.23% | $39.99 |
| 0.23% | $59.99 | |
| 0.23% | $29.99 | |
| $50 Gift Card | 0.21% | $50.00 |
| Eagle Industries UH-92F UCP Drop Leg Holster | 0.19% | $29.99 |
| USGI OCP Three Mag Placard | 0.17% | $15.99 |
| USGI UCP STANAG Bandoleer | 0.17% | $14.99 |
| 0.14% | $79.99 | |
| 0.14% | $49.99 | |
| Skeeta-Tent Mosquito Net Screen | 0.14% | $29.99 |
| UCP Shelter Half | 0.12% | $49.99 |
| Safariland Misc Holster | 0.10% | $49.99 |
| USGI Utility Smock (The Shinji Shirt) | 0.10% | $14.99 |
| 0.10% | $15.99 | |
| 0.10% | $39.99 | |
| 0.08% | $89.99 | |
| 0.08% | $44.99 | |
| 0.08% | $29.99 | |
| USGI Flyers Coveralls | 0.06% | $99.99 |
| USGI Fuel Handlers Coverall | 0.06% | $34.99 |
| Eagle Industries Large MOLLE Optic Pouch, Khaki | 0.06% | $19.99 |
| 0.06% | $149.99 | |
| 0.06% | $99.99 | |
| USGI UCP Medical Field Pack | 0.04% | $149.99 |
| 0.04% | $119.99 | |
| USGI M81 Woodland STANAG Bandoleer | 0.02% | $19.99 |
| USGI Old Gen ECW Mummy Sleeping Bag | 0.02% | $119.99 |
| Rothco MA-1 Reproduction Jacket Sage Green XL | 0.02% | $49.99 |
| USGI Utility Coverall | 0.02% | $49.99 |
| 0.02% | $49.99 | |
| 0.02% | $99.99 |
